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ID-496: Statin Use and Prediabetes Risk: Prediction Model Development and Causal Inference Using Data from the Whole Systems Integrated Care Database, Northwest London

Safe People

Organisation name

Imperial College London

Applicant name(s)

Prof Brendan Delaney

Funders/ Sponsors

Safe Projects

Project ID

ID-496

Lay summary

Project to aid NW London GPs: (1) develop a transformer model predicting prediabetes after statin initiation using pseudonymised data; (2) infer the causal link between statins and prediabetes using DR‑CFR, NOTEARS‑MLP and target‑trial emulation.

Public benefit statement

The project aims to assist general practitioners in optimizing statin-associated lipid-lowering strategies and preventing the onset of prediabetes in North West London. Cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) account for nearly a quarter of all deaths in the UK. Statins are recommended as the frontline therapy for CVD prevention, with more than five million users nationwide as of 2024.

Other approval committees

Project start date

18/12/2025

Project end date

01/06/2026

Latest approval date

18/12/2025

Safe Data

Dataset(s) name

Data sensitivity level

De-Personalised

Release/Access date

22/12/2025

Safe Setting

Access type

TRE

Safe Outputs

Link to research outputs