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Predicting COVID-19 infection rates from ZOE symptom tracker data

Safe People

Organisation name

University of Oxford

Organisation sector

Academic Institute

Safe Projects

Project ID

1150

Lay summary

How accurately can we predict a positive Covid-19 diagnosis, without a test having be taken? Machine Learning based approaches can -- in theory, and with enough data -- provide diagnoses in scenarios where tests are either unavailable or impractical. Using the Covid-19 Symtom Study (with its millions of anonymised observations) which is hosted on the SAIL platform, we will develop, implement and test a set of algorithms which make this prospect a reality.

Public benefit statement

The anticipated outcome is comprehensive proof of the viability of such approaches, and the outperformance of semi-supervised in comparison to purely supervised methods for this critically important public health problem.

Latest approval date

30/09/2020

Safe Data

Dataset(s) name
Data sensitivity level

Anonymous

Legal basis for provision of data under Article 6

(e) processing is necessary for the performance of a task carried out in the public interest or in the exercise of official authority vested in the controller;

Lawful conditions for provision of data under Article 9

(j) processing is necessary for archiving purposes in the public interest, scientific or historical research purposes or statistical purposes in accordance with Article 89(1) based on Union or Member State law which shall be proportionate to the aim pursued, respect the essence of the right to data protection and provide for suitable and specific measures to safeguard the fundamental rights and the interests of the data subject.

Common Law Duty of Confidentiality

Not applicable

National data opt-out applied?

Not applicable

Safe Setting

Access type

TRE